Bitcoin Comovement With AI Equities Beyond Equity Risk Sentiment: Evidence From Multiscale Quantile-on-Quantile Partial Correlation


SUNDAY ADEBAYO T., Kirikkaleli D.

Journal of Applied Mathematics, vol.2026, no.1, 2026 (ESCI, Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Nəşrin Növü: Article / Article
  • Cild: 2026 Say: 1
  • Nəşr tarixi: 2026
  • Doi nömrəsi: 10.1155/jama/7926803
  • jurnalın adı: Journal of Applied Mathematics
  • Jurnalın baxıldığı indekslər: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), Scopus, Compendex, INSPEC, MathSciNet, zbMATH, Directory of Open Access Journals
  • Açar sözlər: AI equities, Bitcoin, equity risk sentiment, partial correlation
  • Adres: Bəli

Qısa məlumat

This study assesses whether Bitcoin’s linkage with AI equities remains robust after accounting for equity risk sentiment. To this end, the study employs the multiscale quantile-on-quantile correlation (MSQQC) and multiscale quantile-on-quantile partial correlation (MSQQPC) approaches, using daily data covering 02/01/2019–16/06/2025. The results indicate that BTC–AI comovement is strongly state- and frequency-dependent rather than stable across the joint distribution or across horizons. In the high-frequency band, dependence is weak and only intermittently significant, with localised negative regions around BTC ≈ 0.20 with AI ≈ 0.30–0.50 and BTC ≈ 0.30 with AI ≈ 0.70. In the mid-frequency band, significance concentrates in the tails, showing negative dependence under downside stress conditions such as BTC ≈ 0.10–0.30 with AI ≈ 0.10, alongside sign changes when BTC is in upper-tail states. In the low-frequency band, dependence becomes broadly positive and significant across most quantile combinations, with limited decoupling when AI is highly elevated (≈ 0.80–0.90) and BTC is also in upper quantiles (≈ 0.70–0.90). Importantly, conditioning on VIX and VVIX does not materially alter these patterns, suggesting that sentiment influences segments of short-run dependence but does not overturn the longer-run BTC–AI linkage. The study derives policy recommendations from these findings.