Safe havens or fragile investments? Navigating sustainable energy assets in times of policy uncertainty


Adebayo T. S., Olanrewaju V. O., Uzun B.

Investment Analysts Journal, vol.55, no.2, pp.130-151, 2026 (SSCI, Scopus)

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 55 Issue: 2
  • Publication Date: 2026
  • Doi Number: 10.1080/10293523.2025.2517985
  • Journal Name: Investment Analysts Journal
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, IBZ Online, Business Source Elite, Business Source Premier
  • Page Numbers: pp.130-151
  • Keywords: climate policy uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty, policy uncertainty, sustainable energy assets, wavelet cross-quantile regression
  • Open Archive Collection: Article
  • Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC) Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

The study investigates the impact of policy uncertainty–both climate and economic–on sustainable energy assets under various market conditions, including bearish, normal, and bullish scenarios, as well as across different investment horizons: short-, medium-, and long-term. The study introduces the Wavelet Cross-Quantile Regression (WCQR) method and focuses on monthly data spanning from January 1, 2011, to July 31, 2024, to capture dynamic associations. The results reveal that economic policy uncertainty negatively impacts sustainable energy assets in the short and medium terms, particularly in the lower quantiles, while showing modest positive effects in the upper quantiles. Conversely, climate policy uncertainty positively influences sustainable energy assets in the short term, especially in the upper quantiles. However, its impact diminishes in the medium term and turns negative in the lower quantiles over the long term. Based on these findings, targeted policy recommendations are proposed.