Methodology for Assessing and Predicting the Rate of Development of Education in the Republic of Azerbaijan


Guliyeva S., Azizova R.

WSEAS Transactions on Environment and Development, vol.18, pp.962-971, 2022 (Scopus) identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 18
  • Publication Date: 2022
  • Doi Number: 10.37394/232015.2022.18.92
  • Journal Name: WSEAS Transactions on Environment and Development
  • Journal Indexes: Scopus, Aerospace Database, Aqualine, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), Communication Abstracts, INSPEC, Metadex, Pollution Abstracts, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Page Numbers: pp.962-971
  • Keywords: assessment methodology, development, education, integral indicator, Key-Words:-Forecasting
  • Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC) Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

-The article developed a methodology for assessing the rates of development of education and their forecasting in the Republic of Azerbaijan, which allows considering factors with a heterogeneous metric. For this, an index analysis of thirty-five indicators was carried out, divided into seven groups depending on the level of education, an integral indicator characterizing their changes was calculated, and the pace of development of the industry in the Republic of Azerbaijan was determined. Further, using the Excel program, a forecast of changes in the number of students in the Republic of Azerbaijan until 2023 is presented according to three scenarios: optimistic, probabilistic and pessimistic. Studies have shown that optimistic and pessimistic scenarios are more likely to be realized.