Does the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Respond Asymmetrically to Inflation and Output?

BULUT Ü.

Margin, vol.13, no.4, pp.381-400, 2019 (Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 13 Issue: 4
  • Publication Date: 2019
  • Doi Number: 10.1177/0973801019868374
  • Journal Name: Margin
  • Journal Indexes: Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.381-400
  • Keywords: Asymmetric Cointegration Test, Inflation Expectations, Inflation Targeting, Monetary Policy Reaction Function, The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey
  • Open Archive Collection: Article
  • Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC) Affiliated: No

Abstract

This article aims to estimate a forward-looking reaction function for the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) considering possible asymmetries in the reaction function. For this purpose, it uses quarterly data over the period 2006:1–2018:1 and performs the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) cointegration test. The findings obtained from the NARDL test indicate that the CBRT has an asymmetric reaction function and considers increases in inflation and decreases in output while adjusting short-term interest rates. Theoretical and practical implications for these findings are also discussed. JEL Classification: C22, E52, E58.