EVALUATING DEMOGRAPHIC CAPACITY OF TERRITORIES IN REGIONAL SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PLANS


Husseynov Z. R., Abdullayev A., Aliyeva B. M., Huseynli N.

37th International Scientific Conference on Economic and Social Development - Socio Economic Problems of Sustainable Development, Baku, Azerbaijan, 14 - 15 February 2019, pp.584-592 identifier

  • Publication Type: Conference Paper / Full Text
  • City: Baku
  • Country: Azerbaijan
  • Page Numbers: pp.584-592
  • Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC) Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

Demographic potential depends on regional demographic processes and social-economic factors. The related research on 2 economic regions of Azerbaijan had performed taking into account indicators of the demographic potential and defining it impacting factors, already formed processes and indicators such as population number, age and gender groups shares, migration and marriage processes, demographic waves and behavioral characteristics. In framework of mid-term and long-term sustainable development planning predictive models had developed based on multidimensional (involving environmental, social, economic and institutional aspects) approach. Data analysis and models of demographic processes were developed for each administrative rayon. Data analysis and predictions results show demographic potential of each administrative rayon highly depends on its economic development indicators. More important conclusion reflects risk of demographic potential diminishing in future as a result of demographic waves formed in a period of economic crises.