Research Information System
BULGARIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE, vol.26, no.6, pp.1116-1128, 2020 (ESCI)
Since agriculture financing and lending are getting quite outstanding in the world, Azerbaijan is also taking serious steps towards it, as agricuture is one of the main branches of the state policy. Obviously, the development of agriculture has heavily tied with food security, environmental protection, eradicating extreme poverty, water purity, land consolidation etc. However, agriculture financing has the potential to be resolved in Azerbaijan. Fortunately, government provides financial support to agriculture through investments and loans that may positively affect the financial sustainability of farmers and their competitiveness. The article analyzes the impact of public investment, renewal of fixed assets, credit allocations by banks for the development of agriculture by means of Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modeling. Firstly, the stationary of series was checked, cointegration test was done based on ARDL-pounds testing and then, established models with diagnostic tests. As a result of analysis, a long-term cointegration was identified among agrarian GDP and investment, agrarian funds and agrarian credits. Also, a long-term cointegration was identified among gross agarian products and agrarian investment, agrarian funds as well as agrarian credits. Research reveals that investment on agriculture positively influences GDP, plant-growing and husbandry. However, the more credits are allocated for agriculture the less the outcomes for plant-growing and husbandry will decrease. The result is unexpected - actually, the unexpected result of credits to agriculture in Azerbaijan means uncertain influence on economic develeopment.