Modeling of Electricity Demand for Azerbaijan: Time-Varying Coefficient Cointegration Approach

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Mikayilov J. I., Hasanov F. J., Bollino C. A., Mahmudlu C.

ENERGIES, vol.10, no.11, 2017 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Nəşrin Növü: Article / Article
  • Cild: 10 Say: 11
  • Nəşr tarixi: 2017
  • Doi nömrəsi: 10.3390/en10111918
  • jurnalın adı: ENERGIES
  • Jurnalın baxıldığı indekslər: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Adres: Yox

Qısa məlumat

Recent literature has shown that electricity demand elasticities may not be constant over time and this has investigated using time-varying estimation methods. As accurate modeling of electricity demand is very important in Azerbaijan, which is a transitional country facing significant change in its economic outlook, we analyze whether the response of electricity demand to income and price is varying over time in this economy. We employed the Time-Varying Coefficient cointegration approach, a cutting-edge time-varying estimation method. We find evidence that income elasticity demonstrates sizeable variation for the period of investigation ranging from 0.48% to 0.56%. The study has some useful policy implications related to the income and price aspects of the electricity consumption in Azerbaijan.