Müəllif:
Şirvanova Təranə Əmirağa qızı – İqtisadiyyat kafedrasının baş müəllimi

Scopus, Web of Science                                


Elmi əsərin adı:

Towards sustainability: Spatial analysis of renewable energy, environmental pollution, and economic growth in Chinese regions

Link:
https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105030068083

Elmi nəşrin adı:
Energy Strategy Reviews

Elmi əsərin nəşrin rəsmi saytındakı linki:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X26000283?via%3Dihub

Kvartil: Q1

Həmmüəllifin təmsil etdiyi ölkələr: Çin, Özbəkistan

Xülasə:

The increasing urgency to address climate change has intensified the need for a deeper understanding of how renewable energy adoption, environmental pollution, and economic growth interact, particularly within spatially interconnected regions where cross-border externalities and policy spillovers fundamentally shape environmental outcomes. This study investigates the dynamic and spatially distributed relationships among renewable energy consumption, carbon dioxide emissions, and economic development across 31 Provincial administrative Units(Including provinces, autonomous regions, municipalities, and SAR hereinafter refered to as provinces) over the period 2000 to 2023, employing advanced spatial econometric techniques that explicitly account for geographical interdependencies often overlooked in conventional panel data analyses. Utilizing both static and dynamic Spatial Durbin Models alongside comprehensive robustness checks including alternative spatial weight matrices and model specifications, the analysis captures direct within-country effects, cross-border spillover effects, and feedback mechanisms that traditional non-spatial approaches fail to identify. The empirical findings reveal that renewable energy adoption generates substantial emissions reductions both domestically and regionally, with a one percent increase in renewable energy share reducing a country's own CO2 emissions by 0.259 percent while simultaneously decreasing emissions in neighboring countries by 0.047 percent through mechanisms including technology diffusion, cross-border electricity trade, and policy emulation. Economic growth exhibits a nonlinear inverted U-shaped relationship with pollution consistent with the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis, with high-income Provinces having surpassed the turning point at approximately $8,000 to $12,000 GDP per capita, beyond which additional economic development contributes to emissions reduction rather than environmental degradation. Industrial activities demonstrate a negative association with emissions when integrated with decarbonization technologies and cleaner production processes, challenging conventional assumptions about the inevitable environmental costs of industrialization. Cross-border trade, contrary to the Pollution Haven Hypothesis, exerts a negative total effect on emissions of 0.493 percent, reflecting China's structural shift toward high-value, low-emission goods and services alongside harmonized environmental standards that prevent the outsourcing of pollution-intensive activities. Spatial diagnostic tests including Moran's I statistics and LISA cluster maps confirm persistent positive spatial autocorrelation in emissions throughout the study period, validating the necessity of spatial modeling approaches, while the spatially lagged dependent variable coefficient of 0.074 demonstrates that emissions levels in neighboring countries directly influence domestic environmental outcomes. Effect decomposition analysis reveals that 72 percent of renewable energy's total impact operates through direct domestic channels while 28 percent manifests as cross-border spillovers, highlighting the substantial regional externalities generated by national-level clean energy investments. Dynamic specifications incorporating temporal lags confirm the persistence and amplification of these relationships over time, with renewable energy effects strengthening in recent years due to technological improvements, falling costs, and policy reinforcement. These results underscore the critical importance of coordinated regional policies that promote renewable energy diffusion through targeted investment mechanisms s, facilitate cross-border grid integration to enable efficient redistribution of clean electricity, harmonize environmental regulations to internalize spatial externalities, and provide differentiated support for lagging economies to achieve sustainable and spatially inclusive environmental outcomes across China. The study contributes methodologically by demonstrating the superiority of spatial econometric approaches over traditional panel methods in capturing the complex interdependencies characterizing integrated regional systems, and empirically by providing robust quantitative evidence on the magnitude and pathways of renewable energy spillovers that can inform evidence-based climate policy design. Policy implications emphasize that isolated national strategies are insufficient in spatially interconnected contexts, and that maximizing collective environmental benefits while ensuring equitable transitions requires supranational coordination, strategic infrastructure investments, technology transfer mechanisms, and institution-building support for regions with limited renewable energy capacity or weaker governance structures. © 2026 The Authors.